Sports
Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Odds Compared
2 platforms $9.0K total volume Resolves October 4, 2026 Quoted under 1 hour ago
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
Denis Shapovalov
69%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
1.6pt spread ≥ 1pt
| Outcome | Novig | Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | 70% | 69% | 1.0pt |
| Adrian Mannarino | 31% | 32% | 1.0pt |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result. A spread of 1+ point is stamped.
Resolution criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Denis Shapovalov in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Denis Shapovalov.
This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Adrian Mannarino.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Novig, Polymarket. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov"?
"Denis Shapovalov" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 69%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "Adrian Mannarino", where prices differ by 1.0 percentage points across platforms.
When does "Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.