Prediction Markets
What prediction markets are, how to read them, and platform-specific performance data.
Featured Content
Calculators & Tools
3 toolsLearn
26 articlesMinnesota's Prediction Market Ban (SF 4760): What It Actually Says
Minnesota's SF 4760 makes operating or advertising a prediction market a felony starting August 1, 2026. Here's what the law covers, what it doesn't, and where the CFTC lawsuit against it stands.
Jul 2026Which States Are Fighting Prediction Markets? 2026 Map
Roughly 20 states have sued or issued cease-and-desist orders against Kalshi and Polymarket's sports contracts. Here's where each state fight stands.
Jul 2026Sports Event Contracts: Why They're the Legal Flashpoint
Election and economic contracts on Kalshi barely draw a legal challenge. Sports contracts have triggered lawsuits in 20+ states. Here's the gaming-vs-derivatives question driving every case.
Apr 2026Whale Tracker: Follow $10K+ Polymarket Trades Live
Track Polymarket whale trades over $10,000 in real time — wallet profiles, win rates, and a free leaderboard on OddsReference's on-chain dashboard.
Apr 2026Same Market, Different Price: Cross-Platform Divergence
Why the same event prices differently on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Metaculus — which gaps are structural, which are actionable, and how to track them live.
Mar 2026Kalshi Limit Orders: How the Pencil Icon Cuts Fees 75%
Kalshi defaults new traders to Quick Orders and taker fees. A pencil icon most miss switches to limit orders, cutting fees 75%. Here's the math.
Platforms
5 articlesManifold Markets: Play-Money Platform Profile (2026)
Manifold Markets profile: play-money forecasting, mana currency, LMSR mechanics, market creation, and accuracy vs. Kalshi and Polymarket.
Mar 2026Metaculus: Platform Profile and Performance Data
Reference guide to Metaculus, the reputation-based prediction market platform. Scoring system, accuracy track record, forecaster community, and comparison data.
Mar 2026Robinhood Prediction Markets: Fees & Platform Profile (2026)
Robinhood brings CFTC-regulated event contracts to 20M+ brokerage accounts -- fees, markets, and Kalshi comparison, verified July 2026.
Feb 2026Kalshi: Platform Profile and Performance Data
Complete reference for Kalshi — the first CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange. Fees, event contract mechanics, regulatory significance, and accuracy data.
Feb 2026Polymarket Platform Profile: Fees & US Access (2026)
Polymarket profile: CLOB mechanics, the ~2% settlement fee, and QCEX-powered US beta access. Fees and access status verified July 2026.
Reviews
4 articlesBest Prediction Markets 2026: Fees & Accuracy Ranked
Kalshi, Polymarket, and DraftKings Predicts ranked by fees, regulation, and calibration -- updated July 18, 2026.
Mar 2026DraftKings Predicts Review: 38-State Access & Fees (2026)
DraftKings Predicts review: 38-state coverage including CA and TX, CME Group routing, and the only prediction market with an existing affiliate program.
Mar 2026Kalshi Review 2026: Fees, Contracts & CFTC-Regulated Trading
Kalshi review: CFTC regulation, per-contract fees, state restrictions, and the payout dispute and lawsuit controversies -- rated across 6 categories.
Mar 2026Polymarket Review 2026: Fees, CLOB & US Beta Access
Polymarket review: CLOB mechanics, the ~2% settlement fee, QCEX US beta access, and how it compares to Kalshi. Verified July 2026.