Sports
MLB: 2026 American League Champion Odds Compared
2 platforms $4.4M total volume Resolves November 1, 2026 Quoted under 1 hour ago
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
Tampa Bay Rays
28%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
1.6pt spread ≥ 1pt
| Outcome | Gemini | Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | 8% | 0% | 8.0pt |
| Other | — | 0% | — |
| Chicago White Sox | 0% | 10% | 10.2pt |
| Texas Rangers | 5% | 4% | 1.3pt |
| Boston Red Sox | 8% | 11% | 2.8pt |
| Cleveland Guardians | 2% | 18% | 16.4pt |
| New York Yankees | 25% | 22% | 3.5pt |
| Athletics | — | 0% | — |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 10% | 0% | 10.0pt |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 10% | 28% | 17.8pt |
| Seattle Mariners | 14% | 0% | 14.0pt |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0% | 0% | 0.0pt |
| Houston Astros | 0% | 9% | 9.4pt |
| Kansas City Royals | 0% | 0% | 0.0pt |
| Detroit Tigers | 12% | 0% | 12.0pt |
| Minnesota Twins | 0% | 0% | 0.0pt |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result. A spread of 1+ point is stamped.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball ( https://www.mlb.com/ ); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "MLB: 2026 American League Champion"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Polymarket. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion"?
"Tampa Bay Rays" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 28%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "Tampa Bay Rays", where prices differ by 17.8 percentage points across platforms.
When does "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.