Economics
How high will unemployment get in 2026? Odds Compared
2 platforms
$19.1K total volume
Resolves January 8, 2027
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
Above 10%
93%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| How high will unemployment get before 2027? | — | 0% | — |
| Above 6% | 1% | — | — |
| Above 7% | 1% | — | — |
| Above 8% | 1% | — | — |
| Above 10% | 93% | — | — |
| Above 9% | 1% | — | — |
| Above 5% | 7% | — | — |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "How high will unemployment get in 2026?"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "How high will unemployment get in 2026?"?
"Above 10%" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 93%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "How high will unemployment get in 2026?"?
Currently, tracked platforms are closely aligned on pricing for this market's outcomes.
When does "How high will unemployment get in 2026?" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 8, 2027.