Economics
US GDP Growth in 2026? Odds Compared
2 platforms
$23.8K total volume
Resolves February 28, 2027
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
3.6 to 4.0
98%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP growth in 2026? | — | 0% | — |
| 1.6 to 2.0 | 27% | — | — |
| 2.1 to 2.5 | 28% | — | — |
| 3.1 to 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
| 3.6 to 4.0 | 98% | — | — |
| 0.1 to 0.5 | 6% | — | — |
| 4.1 to 4.5 | 93% | — | — |
| 2.6 to 3.0 | 10% | — | — |
| 4.6 to 5.0 | 93% | — | — |
| 0.6 to 1.0 | 1% | — | — |
| 1.1 to 1.5 | 15% | — | — |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "US GDP Growth in 2026?"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "US GDP Growth in 2026?"?
"3.6 to 4.0" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 98%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "US GDP Growth in 2026?"?
Currently, tracked platforms are closely aligned on pricing for this market's outcomes.
When does "US GDP Growth in 2026?" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 28, 2027.