Politics
Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028? Odds Compared
2 platforms
$1.3M total volume
Resolves November 7, 2028
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
28%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 99% | 1% | 97.7pt |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 1% | — |
| Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 3% | 2% | 1.0pt |
| Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 25% | 2% | 23.5pt |
| Will Erika Kirk be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 7% | 3% | 4.3pt |
| Will Matt Gaetz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 99% | 0% | 98.7pt |
| Tim Scott | — | 4% | — |
| Will Byron Donalds be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 3% | 3% | 0.2pt |
| Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 27% | 28% | 0.5pt |
| Will Elise Stefanik be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 6% | 3% | 3.5pt |
| Will John Thune be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 99% | 1% | 98.4pt |
| Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 7% | 7% | 0.4pt |
| Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 4% | 2% | 1.7pt |
| Will Katie Britt be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 5% | 3% | 2.3pt |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 4% | 1% | 2.7pt |
| Will Elon Musk be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 99% | 0% | 98.7pt |
| Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 4% | 4% | 0.2pt |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 5% | 4% | 0.6pt |
| Will Nikki Haley be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 3% | 2% | 1.0pt |
| Will Greg Abbott be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 99% | 1% | 98.2pt |
| Will Glenn Youngkin be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | 0% | 3% | 2.8pt |
| Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 4% | — |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.
Trade This Market
Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?"?
"Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 28%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "Will Matt Gaetz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?", where prices differ by 98.7 percentage points across platforms.
When does "Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.