Politics
2028 Democratic presidential nominee Odds Compared
2 platforms $212.1M total volume Resolves November 7, 2028 Quoted 20d ago
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
1.6pt spread ≥ 1pt
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| MrBeast | — | 1% | — |
| Oprah Winfrey | — | 1% | — |
| Kim Kardashian | — | 1% | — |
| George Clooney | — | 1% | — |
| Other | — | 0% | — |
| Person P | — | 0% | — |
| Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 8% | 7% | 1.5pt |
| Will Beto O'Rourke be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Andrew Yang be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? | 0% | 1% | 0.5pt |
| Will Jared Polis be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.6pt |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 5% | 5% | 0.4pt |
| Will Jon Stewart be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | 2% | — |
| Will J.B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | 1% | — |
| Will Rahm Emanuel be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 4% | 2% | 1.5pt |
| Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 2% | 1% | 0.6pt |
| Will Lebron James be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 0% | 0.4pt |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | 20% | — |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 2% | 1% | 0.6pt |
| Will Barack Obama be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | 1% | — |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? | 0% | 1% | 0.5pt |
| Will Dwayne Johnson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? | — | 1% | — |
| Will Phil Murphy be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.5pt |
| Will Chris Murphy be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | 1% | — |
| Will Ro Khanna be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | 2% | — |
| Will Liz Cheney be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.6pt |
| Will Elizabeth Warren be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? | 0% | — | — |
| Will Graham Platner be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? | 0% | 0% | 0.4pt |
| Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 1% | 1% | 0.3pt |
| Will Ruben Gallego be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.1pt |
| Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.5pt |
| Shawn Fain | 1% | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 17% | 12% | 4.5pt |
| Will Cory Booker be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 1% | 1% | 0.0pt |
| Will Mitch Landrieu be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? | 1% | — | — |
| Will Mark Cuban be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 1% | 1% | 0.0pt |
| Will Hilary Clinton be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.7pt |
| Will Tim Walz be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 0% | 0.4pt |
| Will John Fetterman be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.4pt |
| Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | 2% | — |
| Will Roy Cooper be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.5pt |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | 1% | — |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? | 2% | — | — |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | 15% | — |
| Will Gina Raimondo be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.6pt |
| Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 2% | 1% | 1.1pt |
| Will Amy Klobuchar be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? | 0% | — | — |
| Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 5% | 1% | 3.9pt |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 6% | 5% | 0.3pt |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.4pt |
| Will Hunter Biden be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | 1% | — |
| Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | 0% | 1% | 0.4pt |
| Will Elissa Slotkin be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | — | — |
| Will Jamie Dimon be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? | — | — | — |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result. A spread of 1+ point is stamped.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "2028 Democratic presidential nominee"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Kalshi, Polymarket. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "2028 Democratic presidential nominee"?
"Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 17%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "2028 Democratic presidential nominee"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?", where prices differ by 4.5 percentage points across platforms.
When does "2028 Democratic presidential nominee" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.