Politics
2028 Republican nominee for President? Odds Compared
2 platforms
$41.7K total volume
Resolves November 10, 2028
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
43%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Katie Britt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Steve Bannon be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will John Thune be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Glenn Youngkin be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 4% | 0% | 4.0pt |
| Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 4% | 0% | 4.0pt |
| Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 3% | 0% | 3.0pt |
| Will Nikki Haley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 3% | 0% | 3.0pt |
| Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 2% | 0% | 2.0pt |
| Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 26% | 0% | 26.0pt |
| Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 2% | 0% | 2.0pt |
| Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 3% | 0% | 3.0pt |
| Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 43% | 0% | 43.0pt |
| Will Greg Abbott be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 2% | 0% | 2.0pt |
| Will Byron Donalds be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 2% | 0% | 2.0pt |
| Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 3% | 0% | 3.0pt |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | 1% | 0% | 1.0pt |
| Will Nicki Minaj be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Tom Cotton be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Elise Stefanik be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Matt Gaetz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Elon Musk be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Kristi Noem be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Erika Kirk be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? | — | 0% | — |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "2028 Republican nominee for President?"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "2028 Republican nominee for President?"?
"Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 43%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "2028 Republican nominee for President?"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", where prices differ by 43.0 percentage points across platforms.
When does "2028 Republican nominee for President?" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2028.