Brazil Presidential Election Odds Compared
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Gemini | Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Person I | — | 0% | — |
| Person J | — | 0% | — |
| Person K | — | 0% | — |
| Person L | — | 0% | — |
| Person M | — | 0% | — |
| Person N | — | 0% | — |
| Person O | — | 0% | — |
| Person P | — | 0% | — |
| Person Q | — | 0% | — |
| Person R | — | 0% | — |
| Person S | — | 0% | — |
| Person T | — | 0% | — |
| Person U | — | 0% | — |
| Person W | — | 0% | — |
| Person Y | — | 0% | — |
| Person V | — | 0% | — |
| Person X | — | 0% | — |
| Person Z | — | 0% | — |
| Other | — | 0% | — |
| Tereza Cristina | — | 0% | — |
| Renan Santos | 8% | 10% | 2.2pt |
| Ronaldo Caiado | — | 1% | — |
| Geraldo Alckmin | — | 0% | — |
| Romeu Zema | — | 1% | — |
| Helder Barbalho | — | 0% | — |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | — | 2% | — |
| Aldo Rebelo | — | 0% | — |
| Camilo Santana | — | 1% | — |
| Eduardo Leite | — | 0% | — |
| Jair Bolsonaro | — | 1% | — |
| Tarcisio de Freitas | 1% | 0% | 0.9pt |
| Fernando Haddad | 1% | 1% | 0.4pt |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 65% | 62% | 3.5pt |
| Ratinho Júnior | 1% | 0% | 0.9pt |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | — | 0% | — |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 26% | 24% | 2.3pt |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.