Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028? Odds Compared
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
3 platforms
$57.1K total volume
Resolves November 10, 2028
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
JD Vance
20%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| :: Unknown | — | 0% | — | — |
| Wes Moore | — | — | 1% | — |
| Gretchen Whitmer | — | — | 1% | — |
| Glenn Youngkin | — | — | 1% | — |
| Stephen Smith | — | — | 1% | — |
| JB Pritzker | — | — | 1% | — |
| Tulsi Gabbard | — | — | 1% | — |
| Nikki Haley | — | — | 1% | — |
| Ron DeSantis | — | — | 1% | — |
| Tim Walz | — | — | 1% | — |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | — | — | 1% | — |
| Greg Abbott | — | — | 1% | — |
| Elon Musk | — | — | 1% | — |
| LeBron James | — | — | 1% | — |
| Tucker Carlson | — | — | 2% | — |
| Kim Kardashian | — | — | 1% | — |
| Ivanka Trump | — | — | 1% | — |
| Zohran Mamdani | — | — | 1% | — |
| Michelle Obama | — | — | 1% | — |
| Jamie Dimon | — | — | 1% | — |
| Ro Khanna | — | — | 1% | — |
| Thomas Massie | — | — | 1% | — |
| James Talarico | — | — | 1% | — |
| Eric Trump | — | — | 1% | — |
| Pete Hegseth | — | — | 1% | — |
| Jalen Brunson | — | — | 1% | — |
| Person Q | — | — | 0% | — |
| Other | — | — | 0% | — |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | — | 0% | — | — |
| Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028? | — | 57% | — | — |
| Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028? | — | 42% | — | — |
| Marco Rubio | 19% | — | 14% | 5.2pt |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 10% | — | 8% | 1.7pt |
| JD Vance | 20% | — | 20% | 0.1pt |
| Josh Shapiro | 4% | — | 3% | 1.3pt |
| Donald Trump | 4% | — | 1% | 2.6pt |
| Gavin Newsom | 12% | — | 12% | 0.1pt |
| Pete Buttigieg | 4% | — | 2% | 1.7pt |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 3% | — | 1% | 1.5pt |
| Kamala Harris | 7% | — | 4% | 3.1pt |
| Andy Beshear | 4% | — | 1% | 3.0pt |
| Jon Ossoff | 10% | — | 7% | 2.9pt |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Presidential Election Winner 2028?"?
3 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi, Polymarket. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Presidential Election Winner 2028?"?
"JD Vance" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 20%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Presidential Election Winner 2028?"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "Marco Rubio", where prices differ by 5.2 percentage points across platforms.
When does "Presidential Election Winner 2028?" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2028.