Prime Minister of Japan after snap election? Odds Compared
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Prime Minister of Japan, as a result of this election. This market will resolve to Sanae Takaichi if she remains Prime Minister as a result of this election. Any other individual must be formally appointed by the Japanese Emperor to qualify. If the results of this election are not officially released by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate B | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate C | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate D | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate E | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate F | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate G | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate H | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate I | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate J | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate K | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate L | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate M | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate N | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate O | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate P | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate R | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate T | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate Q | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate V | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate X | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate Z | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate S | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate U | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate W | — | 0% | — |
| Candidate Y | — | 0% | — |
| Toshimitsu Motegi | — | 0% | — |
| Takayuki Kobayashi | — | 0% | — |
| Sanae Takaichi | — | 100% | — |
| Yoshimasa Hayashi | — | 0% | — |
| Yūichirō Tamaki | — | 0% | — |
| Yōko Kamikawa | — | 0% | — |
| Hirofumi Yoshimura | — | 0% | — |
| Fumitake Fujita | — | 0% | — |
| Taro Kono | — | 0% | — |
| Shinjirō Koizumi | — | 0% | — |
| Yoshihiko Noda | — | 0% | — |
| Tetsuo Saito | — | 0% | — |
| Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
| :: JIP | 0% | — | — |
| :: LDP | 0% | — | — |
| :: CRA | 0% | — | — |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 7% | — | — |
| Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 14% | — | — |
| Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 2% | — | — |
| Will Robert Jenrick be the next United Kingdom of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
| :: Labour | 2% | — | — |
| Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 2% | — | — |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 8% | — | — |
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
| Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 9% | — | — |
| Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
| Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
| Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
| Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 3% | — | — |
| Will Andrew Tate be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
| :: DPP | 0% | — | — |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 16% | — | — |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next of United Kingdom? | 0% | — | — |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.