Politics
Prime Minister of Japan after snap election? Odds Compared
2 platforms $304.6K total volume Resolves January 1, 2030 Quoted 53d ago
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
These platforms quote this market with different outcome structures, so no outcome currently has a directly comparable price on two venues. Each platform's own quotes are shown separately below.
| Outcome | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| :: JIP | 0% |
| :: LDP | 0% |
| :: CRA | 0% |
| Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom? | 0% |
| :: DPP | 0% |
| Outcome | Polymarket |
|---|---|
| Other | 0% |
| Candidate B | 0% |
| Candidate C | 0% |
| Candidate D | 0% |
| Candidate E | 0% |
| Candidate F | 0% |
| Candidate G | 0% |
| Candidate H | 0% |
| Candidate I | 0% |
| Candidate J | 0% |
| Candidate K | 0% |
| Candidate L | 0% |
| Candidate M | 0% |
| Candidate N | 0% |
| Candidate P | 0% |
| Candidate R | 0% |
| Candidate T | 0% |
| Candidate Q | 0% |
| Candidate X | 0% |
| Candidate Z | 0% |
| Candidate S | 0% |
| Candidate U | 0% |
| Candidate W | 0% |
| Toshimitsu Motegi | 0% |
| Takayuki Kobayashi | 0% |
| Sanae Takaichi | 100% |
| Yūichirō Tamaki | 0% |
| Yōko Kamikawa | 0% |
| Hirofumi Yoshimura | 0% |
| Fumitake Fujita | 0% |
| Taro Kono | 0% |
| Shinjirō Koizumi | 0% |
| Yoshihiko Noda | 0% |
| Tetsuo Saito | 0% |
| Candidate O | 0% |
| Candidate V | 0% |
| Candidate Y | 0% |
| Yoshimasa Hayashi | 0% |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Because the venues define this market's outcomes differently, no cross-venue spread is computed.
Resolution criteria
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Prime Minister of Japan, as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to Sanae Takaichi if she remains Prime Minister as a result of this election. Any other individual must be formally appointed by the Japanese Emperor to qualify.
If the results of this election are not officially released by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Prime Minister of Japan after snap election"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Kalshi, Polymarket. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Prime Minister of Japan after snap election"?
"Sanae Takaichi" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 100%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Prime Minister of Japan after snap election"?
No outcome of this market currently has a directly comparable price on two or more platforms — each venue quotes its own outcome set, so no cross-platform spread is computed.
When does "Prime Minister of Japan after snap election" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.