Politics
Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year? Odds Compared
2 platforms
$57.8K total volume
Resolves February 1, 2027
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
Republican Party
56%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Significant increase | — | 7% | — |
| Significant decrease | — | 49% | — |
| Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? | — | 0% | — |
| :: Katie Britt | — | 0% | — |
| Democratic Party | 44% | 47% | 2.5pt |
| Republican Party | 56% | 54% | 2.5pt |
| Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alabama? | — | 0% | — |
| Will Las Vegas receive a Pro Basketball expansion team before Jan 1, 2028? | — | 0% | — |
| :: CHP | — | 0% | — |
| :: AKP | — | 64% | — |
| :: | — | 0% | — |
| No significant difference | — | 0% | — |
| Will Seattle receive a Pro Basketball expansion team before Jan 1, 2028? | — | 0% | — |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?"?
"Republican Party" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 56%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "Democratic Party", where prices differ by 2.5 percentage points across platforms.
When does "Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.