Politics
Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028? Odds Compared
2 platforms $3.1M total volume Resolves November 7, 2028 Quoted under 1 hour ago
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
8%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
1.6pt spread ≥ 1pt
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 2% | 0% | 1.8pt |
| Chris Murphy | — | 1% | — |
| Will Ruben Gallego be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 4% | 1% | 3.1pt |
| Jasmine Crockett | — | 1% | — |
| Rahm Emanuel | — | 1% | — |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 9% | 7% | 1.9pt |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 8% | 8% | 0.5pt |
| Liz Cheney | — | 1% | — |
| Will Mark Cuban be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 3% | 0% | 2.8pt |
| Will Elissa Slotkin be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 13% | 7% | 5.9pt |
| Jared Polis | — | 1% | — |
| Will Roy Cooper be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 2% | 1% | 1.4pt |
| Graham Platner | — | 1% | — |
| Ro Khanna | — | 2% | — |
| Jamie Dimon | — | 1% | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 6% | 1% | 5.5pt |
| James Talarico | — | 5% | — |
| Zohran Mamdani | — | 1% | — |
| Will John Fetterman be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 3% | 0% | 2.8pt |
| Will Mark Kelly be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 6% | 5% | 1.4pt |
| Cory Booker | — | 1% | — |
| Gina Raimondo | — | 1% | — |
| Will J.B. Pritzker be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 2% | 1% | 1.5pt |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 4% | 3% | 0.8pt |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 4% | 2% | 1.6pt |
| Beto O'Rourke | — | 1% | — |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 13% | 5% | 8.1pt |
| Hillary Clinton | — | 1% | — |
| Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 8% | 6% | 2.4pt |
| Bernie Sanders | — | 1% | — |
| Will Tony Evers be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 2% | 0% | 1.8pt |
| Andrew Yang | — | 1% | — |
| Lebron James | — | 1% | — |
| Will Michelle Obama be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 4% | 1% | 3.5pt |
| Stephen A. Smith | — | 1% | — |
| Will Raphael Warnock be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 5% | 3% | 1.7pt |
| Hunter Biden | — | 1% | — |
| Will Kamala Harris be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 3% | 2% | 0.9pt |
| Dwayne Johnson | — | 1% | — |
| Amy Klobuchar | — | 1% | — |
| Elizabeth Warren | — | 1% | — |
| Will Wes Moore be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? | 8% | 6% | 1.9pt |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result. A spread of 1+ point is stamped.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028"?
"Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 8%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?", where prices differ by 8.1 percentage points across platforms.
When does "Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.