Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Odds Compared
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Person C | — | 0% | — |
| Person E | — | 0% | — |
| Person G | — | 0% | — |
| Person I | — | 0% | — |
| Person K | — | 0% | — |
| Person M | — | 0% | — |
| Person O | — | 0% | — |
| Person D | — | 0% | — |
| Person F | — | 0% | — |
| Person H | — | 0% | — |
| Person J | — | 0% | — |
| Person L | — | 0% | — |
| Person N | — | 0% | — |
| Other | — | 0% | — |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | 38% | 37.5pt |
| Naftali Bennett | 0% | 11% | 10.5pt |
| Yossi Cohen | 0% | 0% | 0.3pt |
| Gadi Eizenkot | 0% | 41% | 40.9pt |
| Yair Lapid | 0% | 0% | 0.4pt |
| Moshe Feiglin | 0% | 0% | 0.3pt |
| Yair Golan | 0% | 0% | 0.3pt |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 0% | 1% | 1.2pt |
| Ayelet Shaked | 0% | 0% | 0.3pt |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 0% | 3% | 3.2pt |
| Amir Ohana | 0% | 0% | 0.3pt |
| Nir Barkat | 0% | 0% | 0.3pt |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 0% | 0% | 0.4pt |
| Yoaz Hendel | 0% | 1% | 0.8pt |
| Israel Katz | 0% | 0% | 0.4pt |
| Yariv Levin | 0% | 0% | 0.4pt |
| Benny Gantz | 0% | 0% | 0.4pt |
| Gilad Erdan | — | 0% | — |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.