Futures Odds: Exchanges vs Sportsbooks
The same event, priced two different ways. Prediction-market exchanges set prices through open trading; sportsbooks price futures with their own risk models and vig. Our data shows they routinely disagree by several percentage points on the identical outcome — this is where.
Super Bowl Odds
Polymarket vs BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel
Seattle Seahawks +1.8pt edge
32 entrants compared • 5 venues
World Series Odds
Polymarket vs BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel
New York Yankees +3.4pt edge
30 entrants compared • 5 venues
NBA Championship Odds
Polymarket vs BetMGM, BetRivers, FanDuel
Oklahoma City Thunder +7.4pt edge
30 entrants compared • 4 venues