NBA Championship Odds: Polymarket vs BetMGM, BetRivers, FanDuel
30 NBA Championship entrants currently have a live price on both a prediction-market exchange and a real sportsbook. The widest gap right now is Oklahoma City Thunder, priced at 19.5% on Polymarket versus an average of 28.9% across sportsbooks — a +9.4pt gap on the identical event.
Where is the NBA Championship priced differently?
Every row below has a real, live quote from at least one exchange and one sportsbook — no placeholder or zero-probability rows. The legend above the table explains how the best price, edge, and stale marks work.
| Entrant / edge | Polymarket | BetMGM | BetRivers | FanDuel | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs +7.1pt | 20.5% +388 | 28.6% +250
stale · 20d ago | +7.1pt | ||
| Oklahoma City Thunder +9.4pt | 19.5% +413 | 28.6% +250
stale · 20d ago | +9.4pt | ||
| New York Knicks -1.8pt | 11.5% +770 | 10.0% +900
stale · 20d ago | -1.8pt | ||
| Philadelphia 76ers -1.2pt | 11.1% +805 | 10.0% +900
stale · 20d ago | -1.2pt | ||
| Minnesota Timberwolves -1.6pt | 5.2% +1823 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 20d ago | -1.6pt | ||
| Boston Celtics +2.2pt | 4.5% +2122 | 6.7% +1400
stale · 20d ago | +2.2pt | ||
| Denver Nuggets +0.6pt | 3.0% +3179 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 20d ago | +0.6pt | ||
| Miami Heat +0.0pt | 3.0% +3179 | 3.2% +3000
stale · 20d ago | +0.0pt | ||
| Toronto Raptors +1.0pt | 2.9% +3409 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 20d ago | +1.0pt | ||
| Detroit Pistons +0.8pt | 2.9% +3409 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 20d ago | +0.8pt | ||
| Cleveland Cavaliers +1.4pt | 2.3% +4344 | 3.2% +3000
stale · 20d ago | +1.4pt | ||
| Los Angeles Lakers +0.3pt | 1.9% +5028 | 2.4% +4000
stale · 20d ago | +0.3pt | ||
| Indiana Pacers +0.3pt | 1.8% +5305 | 2.4% +4000
stale · 20d ago | +0.3pt | ||
| Houston Rockets +0.8pt | 1.7% +5961 | 2.4% +4000
stale · 20d ago | +0.8pt | ||
| Golden State Warriors +0.5pt | 1.1% +8991 | 1.6% +6000
stale · 20d ago | +0.5pt | ||
| Atlanta Hawks +0.8pt | 0.9% +11665 | 1.6% +6000
stale · 20d ago | +0.8pt | ||
| Utah Jazz -0.2pt | 0.9% +11665 | 0.7% +15000
stale · 20d ago | -0.2pt | ||
| Orlando Magic +1.0pt | 0.8% +13233 | 1.6% +6000
stale · 20d ago | +1.0pt | ||
| Portland Trail Blazers +0.5pt | 0.7% +14186 | 1.2% +8000
stale · 20d ago | +0.5pt | ||
| Phoenix Suns +0.1pt | 0.7% +15285 | 0.7% +15000
stale · 20d ago | +0.1pt | ||
| Washington Wizards +0.0pt | 0.7% +15285 | 0.7% +15000
stale · 20d ago | +0.0pt | ||
| Dallas Mavericks -0.1pt | 0.5% +18082 | 0.7% +15000
stale · 20d ago | -0.1pt | ||
| Charlotte Hornets +0.5pt | 0.4% +22122 | 1.0% +10000
stale · 20d ago | +0.5pt | ||
| Los Angeles Clippers -0.1pt | 0.3% +39900 | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.1pt | ||
| Memphis Grizzlies -0.1pt | 0.3% +39900 | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.1pt | ||
| Chicago Bulls -0.1pt | 0.3% +39900 | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.1pt | ||
| New Orleans Pelicans +0.0pt | 0.1% +66567 | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | +0.0pt | ||
| Brooklyn Nets -0.0pt | 0.1% +66567 | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.0pt | ||
| Milwaukee Bucks -0.0pt | 0.1% +66567 | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.0pt | ||
| Sacramento Kings -0.1pt | 0.1% +66567 | 0.1% +100000
stale · 20d ago | -0.1pt |
Prices are implied probability derived from each venue's live quote (exchange price or American odds with vig). Bold, underlined marks the single highest-payout price across every venue for that entrant. Edge = sportsbook-consensus probability minus exchange probability, in percentage points — a positive edge means sportsbooks price that outcome higher than the exchange does; a gap of 1+ point is stamped. Stale flags any quote observed more than 48 hours ago.
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