World Series Odds: Gemini / Novig / Polymarket vs BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel
30 World Series entrants currently have a live price on both a prediction-market exchange and a real sportsbook. The widest gap right now is Los Angeles Dodgers, priced at 28.5% on Polymarket versus an average of 35.9% across sportsbooks — a +5.5pt gap on the identical event.
Where is the World Series priced differently?
Every row below has a real, live quote from at least one exchange and one sportsbook — no placeholder or zero-probability rows. The legend above the table explains how the best price, edge, and stale marks work.
| Entrant / edge | Gemini | Novig | Polymarket | BetMGM | BetRivers | DraftKings | FanDuel | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers +5.5pt | — | 32.3% +210 | 36.4% +175
stale · 20d ago | +5.5pt | ||||
| New York Yankees +0.2pt | — | 10.7% +839 | 11.8% +750
stale · 20d ago | +0.2pt | ||||
| Milwaukee Brewers +0.1pt | — | 14.8% +578 | 12.5% +700
stale · 20d ago | +0.1pt | ||||
| Atlanta Braves -1.4pt | — | 10.8% +830 | 8.3% +1100
stale · 20d ago | -1.4pt | ||||
| Philadelphia Phillies +0.5pt | — | 7.3% +1270 | 6.3% +1500
stale · 20d ago | +0.5pt | ||||
| Tampa Bay Rays -0.8pt | — | 14.0% +614 | 9.1% +1000
stale · 20d ago | -0.8pt | ||||
| Chicago Cubs +0.3pt | — | 7.8% +1190 | 6.3% +1500
stale · 20d ago | +0.3pt | ||||
| Cleveland Guardians -2.8pt | — | 8.1% +1142 | 2.4% +4000
stale · 20d ago | -2.8pt | ||||
| Boston Red Sox +0.3pt | — | 10.0% +900 | 6.3% +1500
stale · 20d ago | +0.3pt | ||||
| Chicago White Sox -1.0pt | — | 8.7% +1049 | 4.3% +2200
stale · 20d ago | -1.0pt | ||||
| Texas Rangers -0.9pt | — | 2.5% +3822 | 2.0% +5000
stale · 20d ago | -0.9pt | ||||
| Toronto Blue Jays -1.4pt | — | 2.0% +5000
stale · 20d ago | -1.4pt | |||||
| Seattle Mariners -3.6pt | — | 1.5% +6567 | 1.0% +10000
stale · 20d ago | -3.6pt | ||||
| Pittsburgh Pirates -2.8pt | — | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -2.8pt | |||||
| Houston Astros -0.4pt | — | 9.8% +920 | 4.8% +2000
stale · 20d ago | -0.4pt | ||||
| Detroit Tigers -0.9pt | — | 0.4% +25000
stale · 20d ago | -0.9pt | |||||
| Miami Marlins -0.8pt | — | — | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.8pt | ||||
| St. Louis Cardinals -2.9pt | — | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -2.9pt | |||||
| San Diego Padres -3.6pt | — | 10.3% +871 | 2.0% +5000
stale · 20d ago | -3.6pt | ||||
| Arizona Diamondbacks -1.4pt | — | 5.5% +1718 | 1.2% +8000
stale · 20d ago | -1.4pt | ||||
| New York Mets -2.4pt | — | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -2.4pt | |||||
| Colorado Rockies -0.4pt | — | — | 0.1% +75000
stale · 20d ago | -0.4pt | ||||
| Los Angeles Angels -0.4pt | — | — | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.4pt | ||||
| Minnesota Twins -0.3pt | — | — | 0.4% +25000
stale · 20d ago | -0.3pt | ||||
| Washington Nationals -0.2pt | — | — | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.2pt | ||||
| San Francisco Giants -0.2pt | — | — | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.2pt | ||||
| Baltimore Orioles -2.3pt | — | 5.5% +1718 | 1.0% +10000
stale · 20d ago | -2.3pt | ||||
| Kansas City Royals -1.0pt | — | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -1.0pt | |||||
| Athletics -0.4pt | — | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.4pt | |||||
| Cincinnati Reds -0.0pt | — | — | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.0pt |
Prices are implied probability derived from each venue's live quote (exchange price or American odds with vig). Bold, underlined marks the single highest-payout price across every venue for that entrant. Edge = sportsbook-consensus probability minus exchange probability, in percentage points — a positive edge means sportsbooks price that outcome higher than the exchange does; a gap of 1+ point is stamped. Stale flags any quote observed more than 48 hours ago.
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