Super Bowl Odds: Polymarket vs BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel
32 Super Bowl entrants currently have a live price on both a prediction-market exchange and a real sportsbook. The widest gap right now is Seattle Seahawks, priced at 6.5% on Polymarket versus an average of 8.3% across sportsbooks — a +1.8pt gap on the identical event.
Where is the Super Bowl priced differently?
Every row below has a real, live quote from at least one exchange and one sportsbook — no placeholder or zero-probability rows. Best marks the single highest-payout price per entrant; Edge flags a gap of 3+ percentage points between what the exchange and sportsbooks believe.
| Entrant | Polymarket | BetMGM | BetRivers | DraftKings | FanDuel | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 16.7% +500 | 16.7% +500 |
Best
15.4% +550 | 16.7% +500 | +0.8pt | |
| Buffalo Bills | 9.1% +1000 | 9.1% +1000 | 9.1% +1000 | 9.1% +1000 | +1.6pt | |
| Baltimore Ravens | 8.3% +1100 | 8.3% +1100 | 9.1% +1000 | 7.7% +1200 | +1.5pt | |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6.3% +1500 | 6.3% +1500 | 5.9% +1600 |
Best
5.6% +1700 | -0.8pt | |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8.3% +1100 | 8.3% +1100 | 8.3% +1100 | 8.3% +1100 | +1.8pt | |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 5.3% +1800 | 5.6% +1700 | 5.9% +1600 | 5.6% +1700 | +1.3pt | |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5.6% +1700 | 5.3% +1800 | 5.0% +1900 | 5.3% +1800 | +1.1pt | |
| Denver Broncos | 5.3% +1800 | 4.8% +2000 | 4.8% +2000 | 4.8% +2000 | +0.7pt | |
| Detroit Lions | 5.3% +1800 | 5.6% +1700 | 5.0% +1900 | 5.3% +1800 | +1.2pt | |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5.6% +1700 | 5.6% +1700 | 5.6% +1700 | 5.6% +1700 | +1.5pt | |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4.3% +2200 | 4.8% +2000 | 4.8% +2000 | 4.8% +2000 | +0.6pt | |
| New England Patriots | 4.8% +2000 | 5.3% +1800 | 5.9% +1600 | 5.6% +1700 | +1.4pt | |
| Houston Texans | 4.8% +2000 | 5.3% +1800 | 5.3% +1800 | 5.9% +1600 | +1.5pt | |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3.9% +2500 | 3.9% +2500 | 3.9% +2500 | 4.3% +2200 | +0.3pt | |
| Green Bay Packers | 4.8% +2000 | 4.8% +2000 | 5.3% +1800 | 4.8% +2000 | +1.5pt | |
| Chicago Bears | 3.9% +2500 | 3.9% +2500 | 4.0% +2400 | 3.6% +2700 | +0.8pt | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3.2% +3000 | 3.5% +2800 | 3.2% +3000 | 3.2% +3000 | +0.4pt | |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2.0% +5000 | 2.0% +5000 | 2.0% +5000 | 2.4% +4000 | +0.2pt | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
Best
1.2% +8000 | 1.5% +6600 | 2.0% +5000 | 1.8% +5500 | +0.2pt | |
| Washington Commanders | 1.5% +6600 | 1.6% +6000 | 1.6% +6000 |
Best
1.2% +8000 | +0.2pt | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2.0% +5000 | 2.0% +5000 | 1.8% +5500 | 2.0% +5000 | +0.7pt | |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1.5% +6600 | 2.0% +5000 | 1.6% +6000 | 2.0% +5000 | +0.6pt | |
| New York Giants | 1.5% +6600 | 1.5% +6600 | 1.4% +7000 | 1.6% +6000 | +0.4pt | |
| New Orleans Saints | 1.1% +9000 | 1.2% +8000 | 1.1% +9000 | 1.2% +8000 | +0.2pt | |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.2% +50000 | 0.3% +30000 | 0.3% +35000 |
Best
0.1% +100000 | -0.7pt | |
| Atlanta Falcons | 1.0% +10000 | 1.2% +8000 |
Best
0.8% +13000 | 1.4% +7000 | +0.2pt | |
| Carolina Panthers | 1.0% +10000 | 1.2% +8000 | 1.1% +9000 | 1.2% +8000 | +0.3pt | |
| Cleveland Browns |
Best
0.4% +25000 | 0.5% +20000 | 0.5% +20000 | 0.4% +25000 | -0.4pt | |
| Las Vegas Raiders |
Best
0.7% +15000 | 0.7% +15000 | 0.7% +15000 | 0.8% +12500 | -0.2pt | |
| New York Jets | 0.4% +25000 | 0.5% +20000 | 0.5% +20000 |
Best
0.3% +35000 | -0.4pt | |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.2% +50000 | 0.2% +50000 | 0.2% +50000 |
Best
0.1% +75000 | -0.6pt | |
| Tennessee Titans |
Best
0.4% +25000 | 0.7% +15000 | 0.8% +13000 | 0.8% +12500 | +0.0pt |
Prices are implied probability derived from each venue's live quote (exchange price or American odds with vig). Best marks the single highest-payout price across every venue for that entrant. Edge = sportsbook-consensus probability minus exchange probability, in percentage points — a positive edge means sportsbooks price that outcome higher than the exchange does. Stale flags any quote observed more than 48 hours ago.
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