Super Bowl Odds: Gemini / Novig / Polymarket vs BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel
32 Super Bowl entrants currently have a live price on both a prediction-market exchange and a real sportsbook. The widest gap right now is New York Giants, priced at 1.4% on Novig versus an average of 1.5% across sportsbooks — a +9.2pt gap on the identical event.
Where is the Super Bowl priced differently?
Every row below has a real, live quote from at least one exchange and one sportsbook — no placeholder or zero-probability rows. The legend above the table explains how the best price, edge, and stale marks work.
| Entrant / edge | Gemini | Novig | Polymarket | BetMGM | BetRivers | DraftKings | FanDuel | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams +0.7pt | — | 23.5% +326 | 16.7% +500
stale · 20d ago | +0.7pt | ||||
| Seattle Seahawks -2.0pt | 10.5% +848 | 8.3% +1100
stale · 20d ago | -2.0pt | |||||
| Buffalo Bills -0.8pt | 11.3% +789 | 9.1% +1000
stale · 20d ago | -0.8pt | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs -3.0pt | 12.8% +684 | 6.3% +1500
stale · 20d ago | -3.0pt | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens -0.5pt | 11.8% +751 | 8.3% +1100
stale · 20d ago | -0.5pt | |||||
| New England Patriots -0.6pt | 6.8% +1371 | 5.3% +1800
stale · 20d ago | -0.6pt | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles -0.1pt | 6.0% +1567 | 5.6% +1700
stale · 20d ago | -0.1pt | |||||
| Green Bay Packers -0.0pt | 5.0% +1900 | 4.8% +2000
stale · 20d ago | -0.0pt | |||||
| Detroit Lions -0.8pt | 9.2% +993 | 5.6% +1700
stale · 20d ago | -0.8pt | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers -2.1pt | 9.8% +926 | 5.3% +1800
stale · 20d ago | -2.1pt | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars -0.9pt | 4.5% +2122 | 3.5% +2800
stale · 20d ago | -0.9pt | |||||
| Denver Broncos -0.5pt | 6.2% +1513 | 4.8% +2000
stale · 20d ago | -0.5pt | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers +1.6pt | 4.3% +2226 | 5.6% +1700
stale · 20d ago | +1.6pt | |||||
| Houston Texans +1.0pt | 5.6% +1686 | 5.3% +1800
stale · 20d ago | +1.0pt | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys -0.5pt | 6.4% +1462 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 20d ago | -0.5pt | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals -0.8pt | 10.0% +900 | 4.8% +2000
stale · 20d ago | -0.8pt | |||||
| Chicago Bears +0.7pt | 4.5% +2098 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 20d ago | +0.7pt | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.1pt | 4.3% +2226 | 2.0% +5000
stale · 20d ago | -1.1pt | |||||
| Minnesota Vikings -1.3pt | 4.5% +2098 | 2.0% +5000
stale · 20d ago | -1.3pt | |||||
| Washington Commanders -0.8pt | 3.5% +2717 | 1.5% +6600
stale · 20d ago | -0.8pt | |||||
| New York Giants -9.2pt | 8.0% +1150 | 1.5% +6600
stale · 20d ago | -9.2pt | |||||
| Carolina Panthers -1.0pt | 2.8% +3471 | 1.0% +10000
stale · 20d ago | -1.0pt | |||||
| Las Vegas Raiders -1.5pt | 3.3% +2930 | 0.7% +15000
stale · 20d ago | -1.5pt | |||||
| Indianapolis Colts -0.6pt | 4.0% +2369 | 1.8% +5500
stale · 20d ago | -0.6pt | |||||
| New Orleans Saints -1.5pt | 4.9% +1941 | 1.2% +8000
stale · 20d ago | -1.5pt | |||||
| Atlanta Falcons -0.5pt | 1.5% +6567 | 1.0% +10000
stale · 20d ago | -0.5pt | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers -0.8pt | 3.4% +2841 | 1.6% +6000
stale · 20d ago | -0.8pt | |||||
| Tennessee Titans -1.7pt | 5.0% +1900 | 0.7% +15000
stale · 20d ago | -1.7pt | |||||
| Cleveland Browns -0.9pt | 1.1% +8991 | 0.5% +20000
stale · 20d ago | -0.9pt | |||||
| New York Jets -0.3pt | — | 0.4% +24900 | 0.5% +20000
stale · 20d ago | -0.3pt | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals -0.9pt | 0.3% +33233 | 0.2% +50000
stale · 20d ago | -0.9pt | |||||
| Miami Dolphins -0.8pt | 0.1% +99900 | 0.3% +30000
stale · 20d ago | -0.8pt |
Prices are implied probability derived from each venue's live quote (exchange price or American odds with vig). Bold, underlined marks the single highest-payout price across every venue for that entrant. Edge = sportsbook-consensus probability minus exchange probability, in percentage points — a positive edge means sportsbooks price that outcome higher than the exchange does; a gap of 1+ point is stamped. Stale flags any quote observed more than 48 hours ago.
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